CBS News poll finds Democrats maintain House advantage amid concern about prices

Democrats hold a narrow advantage in CBS News' House projection and in national vote preference. The edge stems from opposition to the Trump administration's policies and from a Republican base showing weaker enthusiasm about voting. Prices are the main yardstick voters use to judge the economy, and most believe President Trump's policies are pushing up grocery costs, while the Iran war is raising gas prices. Most also say the administration has not concentrated enough on bringing costs down. Voters who report hardship from prices lean Democratic.

Republicans who are unhappy about prices, or who feel their own candidates rarely address living costs, are less likely to say they will definitely vote. The same goes for Republicans who rate Trump's second term below his first, by almost 20 points. Hispanic likely voters back Republicans at a lower rate than they backed Trump in 2024, and many say deportations exceed what they expected and that ICE targets Hispanic people unfairly.

Candidates who break somewhat with their national party seem to gain traction, as do Republicans opposing new tariffs or urging an end to the Iran war.

Summarized by PolitiKool from CBS News’s reporting. Read the full story at CBS News →