Fox News Power Rankings: As Iran looms large, can the GOP keep the faithful?

Fox News's latest Power Rankings describe a split midterm landscape in which Republican prospects look much worse for the House than for the Senate. Democrats appear well positioned to win the lower chamber, possibly by a wide margin, as President Donald Trump's slipping approval and the party's strengths on issues pull independent, rural and Hispanic voters their way. One recent survey gave Democrats an 11-point edge on the generic ballot, and Fox's own national poll points the same direction.

The Senate is a different story. Battleground polling in the Midwest and a handful of other places shows candidates separated by a point or two at most, with voters wavering on Republicans but not clearly defecting. The outlet argues the two pictures come from one electorate, since the House and Senate maps this year differ so sharply. Democratic strength has made contests competitive that Republicans considered out of reach, yet the path to a Senate majority runs through several states Trump carried by 11 points or more. If Republican voters turn out and stay loyal, Democrats face a steep climb, so the Senate is rated a toss-up that could produce either a comfortable Democratic majority or continued GOP control.

Summarized by PolitiKool from Fox News’s reporting. Read the full story at Fox News →