Midterms Senate poll tracker: Will the Democrats overturn Trump’s key majority?

Democrats must flip a net four seats to take the Senate in November, a difficult goal given that Republicans hold a 53-47 majority and Vice President JD Vance would break any tie. Anger over President Donald Trump's performance, the continuing war in Iran and climbing gas prices has made formerly safe Republican states competitive, though the map still favors the GOP. Republicans defend 22 seats and Democrats 13, according to The Independent.

The simplest Democratic route involves keeping Georgia, Michigan and New Hampshire while winning four of Alaska, Iowa, Maine, North Carolina, Ohio and Texas. Sen. Jon Ossoff leads Rep. Mike Collins in every major Georgia poll, with Echelon Insights showing 55 percent to 44 percent. In New Hampshire, Rep. Chris Pappas faces former Sen. John Sununu in a close contest for the seat Sen. Jeanne Shaheen is leaving.

In Maine, Troy Jackson replaced Graham Platner as the Democratic nominee after Platner dropped out following a sexual assault accusation, and Jackson is running even with Sen. Susan Collins. In North Carolina, former Gov. Roy Cooper leads Michael Whatley, a first-time candidate, in both polls and fundraising.

Summarized by PolitiKool from The Independent’s reporting. Read the full story at The Independent →