Midwest pro-Trump state could hold key to Republicans' midterm hopes

Republicans trying to hold their House majority are focusing on Iowa, a state President Donald Trump carried by roughly 13 points in November 2024, where Democrats have grown more hopeful that a Midwestern wave could cost the GOP seats. The party now has to protect three of the state's four congressional districts, according to Fox News Power Rankings, which show only one of the four as out of play.

Two of those seats, held by Rep. Zach Nunn and Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks, are rated as leaning Democratic. A third, the open seat being vacated by retiring Rep. Ashley Hinson and sought by Republican Joe Mitchell, is rated a toss-up.

House Majority Whip Tom Emmer of Minnesota, the third-ranking House Republican, appeared at a Mitchell event in the 2nd District and at a Des Moines fundraiser for Nunn. He dismissed polls showing Democrats ahead, saying Republicans distrust surveys and some respondents may give misleading answers. Emmer said the November 3 result hinges on turnout: "if our people show up, we win."

Summarized by PolitiKool from Fox News’s reporting. Read the full story at Fox News →