Who will be US president in 2028? Midterm earthquake shakes up Republican and Democrat races

Democrats won control of both the House and the Senate in the midterms, and The Independent reports that the result has kicked off the 2028 race in both parties. According to the outlet, voters were punishing President Donald Trump over the Iran war and the cost of living, and Republicans now appear headed for bitter infighting.

Vice President JD Vance leads the Republican field on Polymarket, at 34 percent for the nomination and 17 percent for the presidency. Vance wrote on X, "The reason we lost is the war," and Axios reports the warning came privately beforehand. Secretary of State Marco Rubio sits at 20 percent for the nomination and nine percent overall; Rubio largely avoided the campaign trail and has said no run is planned if Vance enters.

Among Democrats, Senator Ossoff won reelection with more than 59 percent of the vote and now leads at 28 percent for the nomination and 21 percent for the presidency. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, winning more than 78 percent in New York's 14th district, stands at 14 percent for the nomination, down from 23 percent in August. Governor Gavin Newsom, who once peaked at 40 percent, has steadily slipped.

Summarized by PolitiKool from The Independent’s reporting. Read the full story at The Independent →