← Polls · Polling Average · Updated Sept. 20, 2026
2028 Democratic field: the potential candidates
Nobody has declared for 2028. This is who Democratic voters say they would back among the potential candidates: the PolitiKool average of every public poll.

LeadingKamala Harris27.9%
Runner-upGavin Newsom16.3%
Margin+11.6
The Field
Average of 16 polls from 10 pollsters · newest poll Sept. 15, 2026
Trend
Kamala HarrisGavin NewsomPete ButtigiegBernie SandersAlexandria Ocasio-CortezJosh ShapiroJon Ossoff
Recent Polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Top three |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 13–15 | Big Data Poll / Public Polling Project | 1,329 LV | Kamala Harris 26.7 · Gavin Newsom 16.1 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10.3 |
| Aug. 12–16 | Noble Predictive Insights / The Center Square | 930 RV | Kamala Harris 28 · Gavin Newsom 14 · Pete Buttigieg 12 |
| June 11–14 | Echelon Insights | 467 LV | Kamala Harris 20 · Gavin Newsom 14 · Pete Buttigieg 14 |
| June 1–4 | Noble Predictive Insights / The Center Square | 1,224 RV | Kamala Harris 27 · Gavin Newsom 14 · Pete Buttigieg 11 |
| May 29 – June 1 | Focaldata / Financial Times | 646 LV | Kamala Harris 37 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 8 |
| May 29 – June 1 | Focaldata / Financial Times | 657 RV | Kamala Harris 36 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 8 |
| May 29 – June 1 | Focaldata / Financial Times | 685 A | Kamala Harris 36 · Gavin Newsom 16 · Pete Buttigieg 8 |
| May 29–31 | HarrisX/Harris / Harvard CAPS | — RV | Kamala Harris 44 · Gavin Newsom 26 · Josh Shapiro 10 |
| May 26–28 | TIPP Insights / Issues & Insights | 593 RV | Kamala Harris 31 · Gavin Newsom 14 · Josh Shapiro 6 |
| May 24–27 | Big Data Poll / Public Polling Project | 1,378 LV | Kamala Harris 28 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 11 |
| May 24–27 | Big Data Poll / Public Polling Project | 1,467 RV | Kamala Harris 29 · Gavin Newsom 16 · Pete Buttigieg 10 |
| May 24–25 | Emerson College | 432 LV | Pete Buttigieg 17.9 · Gavin Newsom 15.9 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11.1 |
| May 16–20 | Overton Insights | — LV | Pete Buttigieg 16 · Gavin Newsom 13 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 12 |
| May 14–18 | Echelon Insights | 501 LV | Kamala Harris 23 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 11 |
| May 12–18 | McLaughlin & Associates | 459 LV | Kamala Harris 28 · Gavin Newsom 16 · Pete Buttigieg 9 |
| April 28 – May 17 | Lord Ashcroft Polls | 4,203 A | Kamala Harris 33 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 9 |
| May 6–11 | Lake Research Partners / FairVote | 800 LV | Kamala Harris 25 · Gavin Newsom 17 · Pete Buttigieg 15 |
| May 4–7 | AtlasIntel | — A | Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 26 · Pete Buttigieg 22 · Gavin Newsom 21 |
| May 1–5 | Focaldata / Financial Times | 1,339 RV | Kamala Harris 38 · Gavin Newsom 16.2 · Pete Buttigieg 8.9 |
| May 1–5 | Focaldata / Financial Times | 1,430 A | Kamala Harris 38.6 · Gavin Newsom 15.6 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 8.5 |