← 2026 governors map · Lean D
Arizona governor polls
Hobbs (D) vs. Biggs (R)
Katie Hobbs leads the 2026 Arizona governor race by 6.2 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Hobbs 47.6%, Biggs 41.4%.
- 5 polls from 4 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 3.1 points toward Andy Biggs over the past month.
- Rated Lean D, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Katie Hobbs (D).
Arizona governor polling average
Katie Hobbs47.6%
Andy Biggs41.4%
MarginHobbs +6.2
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Katie Hobbs · — Andy Biggs
Latest Arizona governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Hobbs | Biggs | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 1–9 | Equis Research | 1,214 RV | 49% | 43% | Hobbs +6 |
| Sept. 30 – Oct. 5 | GQR (partisan) | 600 LV | 49% | 45% | Hobbs +4 |
| Sept. 1–9 | Equis Research | 1,214 RV | 49% | 43% | Hobbs +6 |
| Aug. 18 – Sept. 4 | BSP Research / Arizona State University Center for Latina/os and American Politics Research, Arizona State University Hispanic Research Center | — LV | 47% | 34% | Hobbs +13 |
| Aug. 18 – Sept. 4 | Arizona State University | 1,300 RV | 47% | 34% | Hobbs +13 |
| Aug. 17–19 | NextGen Polling | 1,627 RV | 39% | 38% | Hobbs +1 |
| Aug. 15–18 | HighGround | 400 LV | 50% | 34% | Hobbs +16 |
| Aug. 14–17 | Quantus Insights (partisan) | 780 LV | 49% | 43% | Hobbs +6 |
| Aug. 13–16 | Kreate Strategies / American Encore | 900 LV | 45% | 40% | Hobbs +5 |
| Aug. 11–13 | Stealth Analytics | 530 LV | 43% | 38% | Hobbs +5 |
| Aug. 10–13 | Noble Predictive Insights | 923 LV | 48% | 35% | Hobbs +13 |
| Aug. 9–11 | Grayhouse (partisan) | 600 LV | 49% | 45% | Hobbs +4 |
| July 27–30 | The Tarrance Group / Democracy Defense Foundation | 600 LV | 52% | 48% | Hobbs +4 |
| July 26–28 | Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research / AARP | 913 LV | 52% | 44% | Hobbs +8 |
| May 5–7 | Noble Predictive Insights | 996 RV | 41% | 37% | Hobbs +4 |
| April 20–24 | TIPP Insights (partisan) | 1,159 LV | 48% | 38% | Hobbs +10 |
| Feb. 23–26 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,023 RV | 42% | 37% | Hobbs +5 |
| Jan. 22–24 | Center for Excellence in Polling | 519 LV | 50% | 41% | Hobbs +9 |
| Dec. 15–17 | NextGen P (partisan) | 2,725 LV | 51% | 32% | Hobbs +19 |
| Nov. 8–10 | Emerson College | 850 RV | 44% | 43% | Hobbs +1 |
| Aug. 11–18 | Noble Predictive Insights | 948 RV | 39% | 37% | Hobbs +2 |
| May 12–16 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,026 RV | 40% | 38% | Hobbs +2 |
| April 6–9 | Pulse Decision Science / Club for Growth | 501 LV | 46% | 42% | Hobbs +4 |
| Feb. 11–13 | Noble Predictive Insights | 1,006 RV | 40% | 38% | Hobbs +2 |
| Feb. 5–7 | Kreate Strategies / American Encore | 924 LV | 43% | 44% | Biggs +1 |