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Florida governor polls
Jolly (D) vs. Donalds (R)
Byron Donalds leads the 2026 Florida governor race by 4.3 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Jolly 43.6%, Donalds 47.9%.
- 9 polls from 6 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 2.0 points toward Byron Donalds over the past month.
- Rated Lean R, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Ron DeSantis (R).
Florida governor polling average
David Jolly43.6%
Byron Donalds47.9%
MarginDonalds +4.3
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — David Jolly · — Byron Donalds
Latest Florida governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Jolly | Donalds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 5–7 | St. Pete Polls / Florida Politics | 836 LV | 45% | 45% | Even |
| Sept. 28 – Oct. 5 | YouGov | 3,813 LV | 45% | 47% | Donalds +2 |
| Sept. 28 – Oct. 4 | Targoz Market Research / The James Madison Institute | 857 LV | 42% | 52% | Donalds +10 |
| Sept. 28 – Oct. 1 | Mason-Dixon | 625 LV | 41% | 48% | Donalds +7 |
| Sept. 26–28 | Change Research | 1,063 LV | 48% | 47% | Jolly +1 |
| Sept. 25–27 | Change Research / Freedom Project USA | 1,063 LV | 48% | 46% | Jolly +2 |
| Sept. 14–21 | Stetson University Center for Public Opinion Research | 830 LV | 39% | 51% | Donalds +12 |
| Sept. 15–17 | St. Pete Polls / Florida Politics | 913 LV | 43% | 44% | Donalds +0 |
| Sept. 7–9 | Change Research / Freedom Project USA | 1,107 LV | 47% | 44% | Jolly +3 |
| Aug. 10–13 | Hart Research Associates (partisan) | 600 LV | 46% | 45% | Jolly +1 |
| July 20–26 | Targoz Market Research / The James Madison Institute | 1,026 RV | 38% | 45% | Donalds +7 |
| July 8–17 | University of North Florida | 848 LV | 41% | 46% | Donalds +5 |
| July 9–11 | Change Research (partisan) | 1,348 RV | 37% | 37% | Even |
| May 13–16 | Change Research / Freedom Project USA | 1,593 LV | 46% | 42% | Jolly +4 |
| May 1–9 | Cherry Communications / Florida Chamber of Commerce | 604 LV | 39% | 47% | Donalds +8 |
| April 27–27 | The Public Sentiment Institute | 687 LV | 40% | 40% | Even |
| March 15 – April 13 | Stetson University | 848 LV | 40% | 47% | Donalds +7 |
| April 3–9 | Echelon Insights / NetChoice | 406 LV | 43% | 49% | Donalds +6 |
| March 27 – April 3 | MDW Communications / Edge Communications | 1,834 LV | 41% | 41% | Donalds +1 |
| March 29–31 | Emerson College | 1,125 LV | 39% | 44% | Donalds +5 |
| Feb. 21 – March 2 | University of North Florida | 786 LV | 36% | 42% | Donalds +6 |
| Feb. 20–20 | Public Sentiment Institute | 200 RV | 42% | 36% | Jolly +7 |
| Feb. 13–16 | Targoz Market Research | 1,200 RV | 34% | 36% | Donalds +2 |
| Oct. 15–25 | University of North Florida / Florida Watch | 728 LV | 34% | 45% | Donalds +11 |
| Sept. 16–18 | Targoz Market Research / James Madison Institute | 1,118 RV | 32% | 36% | Donalds +4 |
| Sept. 7–9 | Bendixen & Amandi International (partisan) | 631 LV | 41% | 40% | Jolly +1 |
| Aug. 25–27 | McLaughlin & Associates / Associated Industries of Florida | 800 LV | 41% | 49% | Donalds +8 |
| June 7–10 | Victory Insights | 600 LV | 31% | 37% | Donalds +5 |