PolitiKool
Discourse from America’s online town square
Sunday, October 11, 2026

Nevada governor polls

Ford (D) vs. Lombardo (R)

Joe Lombardo leads the 2026 Nevada governor race by 0.3 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.

  • Ford 40.7%, Lombardo 41.0%.
  • 5 polls from 5 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
  • The margin is little changed over the past month.
  • Rated Toss-up, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
  • The seat is held by Joe Lombardo (R).

Nevada governor polling average

Aaron Ford40.7%
Joe Lombardo41.0%
MarginLombardo +0.3
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Aaron Ford · — Joe Lombardo
Race ratingsCook Toss-upIE Tilt RSabato Toss-up

Latest Nevada governor polls

DatesPollsterSampleFordLombardoMargin
Sept. 22–26 Noble Predictive Insights 800 RV 37% 38% Lombardo +1
Sept. 5–8 Emerson College / KLAS-TV 680 LV 44% 42% Ford +2
July 25–29 Tarrance Group (partisan) — LV 43% 50% Lombardo +7
July 15–16 Public Policy Polling (partisan) 558 LV 44% 44% Even
July 9–12 Wedgewood Polls (partisan) 700 LV 47% 50% Lombardo +3
July 6–8 Grassroots Targeting (partisan) — LV 40% 52% Lombardo +12
June 27–29 Public Opinion Strategies (partisan) — LV 42% 51% Lombardo +9
May 5–11 Global Strategy Group (partisan) 700 LV 42% 45% Lombardo +3
March 10–13 Noble Predictive Insights 845 RV 38% 39% Lombardo +1
Feb. 11–17 Hart Research Associates / Majority Institute 800 LV 43% 46% Lombardo +3
Nov. 16–18 Emerson College 800 RV 41% 41% Even
Oct. 7–13 Noble Predictive Insights 766 RV 37% 40% Lombardo +3