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New Hampshire governor polls
Warmington (D) vs. Ayotte (R)
Kelly Ayotte leads the 2026 New Hampshire governor race by 8.6 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Warmington 41.2%, Ayotte 49.8%.
- 5 polls from 5 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 4.6 points toward Cinde Warmington over the past month.
- Rated Likely R, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Kelly Ayotte (R).
New Hampshire governor polling average
Cinde Warmington41.2%
Kelly Ayotte49.8%
MarginAyotte +8.6
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Cinde Warmington · — Kelly Ayotte
Latest New Hampshire governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Warmington | Ayotte | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 28 – Oct. 5 | YouGov | 1,520 LV | 40% | 49% | Ayotte +9 |
| Sept. 28–29 | Saint Anselm College | 1,042 LV | 45% | 52% | Ayotte +7 |
| Sept. 15–22 | The New York Times/Siena University | 613 LV | 41% | 52% | Ayotte +11 |
| Sept. 17–21 | University of New Hampshire | 1,418 LV | 43% | 47% | Ayotte +4 |
| Sept. 9–11 | co/efficient (partisan) | 958 LV | 34% | 55% | Ayotte +21 |
| Aug. 20–24 | University of New Hampshire | 1,878 LV | 39% | 49% | Ayotte +10 |
| Aug. 17–18 | Saint Anselm College Survey Center | 1,411 LV | 38% | 49% | Ayotte +11 |
| June 24–25 | Saint Anselm | 1,614 RV | 37% | 45% | Ayotte +8 |
| June 18–23 | University of New Hampshire | 2,232 LV | 39% | 44% | Ayotte +5 |
| April 17–21 | University of New Hampshire | 1,117 LV | 39% | 47% | Ayotte +8 |
| March 16–18 | Saint Anselm | 1,491 RV | 39% | 46% | Ayotte +7 |