← 2026 governors map · Likely D
New Mexico governor polls
Haaland (D) vs. Hull (R)
Deb Haaland leads the 2026 New Mexico governor race by 6.6 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Haaland 46.8%, Hull 40.2%.
- 4 polls from 4 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 1.2 points toward Gregg Hull over the past month.
- Rated Likely D, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Michelle Lujan Grisham (D).
New Mexico governor polling average
Deb Haaland46.8%
Gregg Hull40.2%
MarginHaaland +6.6
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Deb Haaland · — Gregg Hull
Latest New Mexico governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Haaland | Hull | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 25–30 | SurveyUSA | 567 LV | 47% | 41% | Haaland +6 |
| Aug. 21–28 | Research & Polling Inc. | 516 LV | 49% | 43% | Haaland +6 |
| July 22 – Aug. 7 | BSP Research (partisan) | 800 RV | 41% | 24% | Haaland +17 |
| July 13–15 | McLaughlin & Associates (partisan) | 400 LV | 46% | 45% | Haaland +1 |