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Pennsylvania governor polls
Shapiro (D) vs. Garrity (R)
Josh Shapiro leads the 2026 Pennsylvania governor race by 22.9 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Shapiro 56.4%, Garrity 33.5%.
- 5 polls from 5 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin is little changed over the past month.
- Rated Safe D, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Josh Shapiro (D).
Pennsylvania governor polling average
Josh Shapiro56.4%
Stacy Garrity33.5%
MarginShapiro +22.9
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Josh Shapiro · — Stacy Garrity
Latest Pennsylvania governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Shapiro | Garrity | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 1–5 | Quinnipiac University Polling Institute | 1,159 LV | 59% | 34% | Shapiro +25 |
| Sept. 28 – Oct. 1 | Z to A Research (partisan) | 630 LV | 53% | 34% | Shapiro +19 |
| Sept. 22–30 | Susquehanna Polling & Research (partisan) | 700 LV | 52% | 31% | Shapiro +21 |
| Sept. 15–22 | The New York Times/Siena University / The Philadelphia Inquirer | 615 LV | 58% | 38% | Shapiro +20 |
| Sept. 16–22 | Bravo Group / PennLive | 624 RV | 55% | 28% | Shapiro +27 |
| Aug. 17–23 | Franklin & Marshall College | 501 RV | 50% | 25% | Shapiro +25 |
| Aug. 18–22 | Bravo Group / PennLive | 711 LV | 56% | 25% | Shapiro +31 |
| Aug. 18–22 | PennLive | 711 RV | 56% | 25% | Shapiro +31 |
| Aug. 17–21 | The New York Times/Siena University / The Philadelphia Inquirer | 760 LV | 55% | 39% | Shapiro +16 |
| July 26–30 | National Public Affairs (partisan) | 600 LV | 50% | 43% | Shapiro +7 |
| July 17–24 | Bravo Group / PennLive | 630 LV | 53% | 28% | Shapiro +25 |
| July 9–13 | Quinnipiac University | 895 RV | 53% | 40% | Shapiro +13 |
| June 18–25 | PennLive | 644 RV | 54% | 29% | Shapiro +25 |
| June 8–14 | Franklin & Marshall College Center for Opinion Research | 546 RV | 50% | 28% | Shapiro +22 |
| June 9–11 | MAD Global Strategy / Natural Allies for a Clean Energy Future | 600 LV | 48% | 31% | Shapiro +17 |
| May 20–24 | Bravo Group / PennLive | 684 LV | 53% | 29% | Shapiro +24 |
| March 18–29 | Susquehanna Polling & Research (partisan) | 700 LV | 58% | 36% | Shapiro +22 |
| Feb. 18 – March 1 | Franklin & Marshall College | 834 RV | 48% | 28% | Shapiro +20 |
| Feb. 19–23 | Quinnipiac University | 836 RV | 55% | 37% | Shapiro +18 |
| Sept. 25–29 | Quinnipiac University | 1,579 RV | 55% | 39% | Shapiro +16 |
| Sept. 22–28 | Susquehanna Polling & Research (partisan) | 700 LV | 54% | 36% | Shapiro +18 |