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Tennessee governor polls
Green (D) vs. Blackburn (R)
Marsha Blackburn leads the 2026 Tennessee governor race by 14.8 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Green 32.3%, Blackburn 47.1%.
- 4 polls from 3 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 2.1 points toward Jerri Green over the past month.
- Rated Safe R, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Bill Lee (R).
Tennessee governor polling average
Jerri Green32.3%
Marsha Blackburn47.1%
MarginBlackburn +14.8
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Jerri Green · — Marsha Blackburn
Latest Tennessee governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Green | Blackburn | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 9–12 | TargetSmart / The Progress Fund | 600 LV | 36% | 45% | Blackburn +9 |
| Aug. 15–26 | Targoz Market Research / Beacon Center of Tennessee | 1,149 RV | 33% | 46% | Blackburn +13 |
| April 20–27 | Targoz Market Research / Beacon Center | 1,157 RV | 27% | 51% | Blackburn +24 |
| Aug. 5–7 | Quantus Insights (partisan) | 600 RV | 28% | 49% | Blackburn +21 |