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Texas governor polls
Hinojosa (D) vs. Abbott (R)
Greg Abbott leads the 2026 Texas governor race by 1.4 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Hinojosa 46.2%, Abbott 47.6%.
- 17 polls from 16 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 2.0 points toward Gina Hinojosa over the past month.
- Rated Lean R, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Greg Abbott (R).
Texas governor polling average
Gina Hinojosa46.2%
Greg Abbott47.6%
MarginAbbott +1.4
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Gina Hinojosa · — Greg Abbott
Latest Texas governor polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Hinojosa | Abbott | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 28 – Oct. 5 | YouGov | 3,625 LV | 48% | 47% | Hinojosa +1 |
| Sept. 22 – Oct. 1 | New York Times/Siena University | 615 LV | 49% | 46% | Hinojosa +3 |
| Sept. 22–30 | The New York Times/Siena University | 605 LV | 49% | 46% | Hinojosa +3 |
| Sept. 24–28 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research / Fox News | 881 LV | 47% | 52% | Abbott +5 |
| Sept. 20–28 | Guidant Polling and Strategy / Public First Action | 800 LV | 44% | 46% | Abbott +2 |
| Sept. 18–28 | University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov | 850 LV | 44% | 48% | Abbott +4 |
| Sept. 24–26 | Big Data Poll | 698 LV | 44% | 49% | Abbott +5 |
| Sept. 22–24 | Stratus Intelligence (partisan) | 865 LV | 45% | 50% | Abbott +5 |
| Sept. 19–22 | Slingshot Strategies / Texas Public Opinion Research | 1,007 LV | 46% | 50% | Abbott +4 |
| Sept. 17–20 | Marist University | 1,139 RV | 49% | 46% | Hinojosa +3 |
| Sept. 15–19 | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 1,800 LV | 45% | 49% | Abbott +4 |
| Sept. 12–14 | Emerson College / Nexstar Media | 1,000 LV | 46% | 49% | Abbott +3 |
| Sept. 12–13 | SoCal Strategies (partisan) | 649 LV | 44% | 52% | Abbott +8 |
| Sept. 8–11 | ReconMR/Siena University | 614 LV | 49% | 45% | Hinojosa +4 |
| Sept. 8–10 | Mason-Dixon | 625 LV | 41% | 48% | Abbott +7 |
| Aug. 27 – Sept. 4 | YouGov / Univision | 1,000 RV | 47% | 47% | Even |
| Aug. 30 – Sept. 1 | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 895 LV | 46% | 49% | Abbott +3 |
| Aug. 24–26 | Overton Insights (partisan) | 1,167 LV | 49% | 51% | Abbott +2 |
| Aug. 21–24 | Slingshot Strategies / Texas Public Opinion Research | 1,000 LV | 42% | 49% | Abbott +7 |
| Aug. 5–13 | The Texas Politics Project at the University of Texas at Austin/YouGov | 1,218 RV | 40% | 45% | Abbott +5 |
| Aug. 9–10 | Emerson College / Nexstar Media | 1,000 LV | 45% | 49% | Abbott +4 |
| Aug. 4–9 | GBAO (partisan) | 1,000 LV | 48% | 49% | Abbott +1 |
| July 30–31 | Wedgewood Polls (partisan) | 800 LV | 44% | 50% | Abbott +6 |
| July 29–31 | Cygnal / Uknown Sponsor | 800 LV | 46% | 49% | Abbott +3 |
| July 27–30 | Texas Southern University Barbara Jordan Public Policy Research and Survey Center | 1,200 LV | 43% | 49% | Abbott +6 |
| July 27–30 | ReconMR/Siena University / Texas A&M University Bush School of Government & Public Service | 619 LV | 45% | 46% | Abbott +1 |
| July 23–27 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research / Fox News | 1,006 RV | 49% | 50% | Abbott +1 |
| July 15–17 | Slingshot Strategies / Texas Public Opinion Research | 1,048 LV | 42% | 45% | Abbott +3 |
| June 19–27 | The New York Times/Siena University | 656 LV | 44% | 51% | Abbott +7 |
| June 21–21 | SoCal Strategies / Red Eagle Politics | 800 LV | 43% | 54% | Abbott +11 |