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Alaska Senate polls
Peltola (D) vs. Sullivan (R)
Mary Peltola leads the 2026 Alaska Senate race by 4.0 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Peltola 47.4%, Sullivan 43.4%.
- 7 polls from 7 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 1.3 points toward Mary Peltola over the past month.
- Rated Toss-up, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Dan Sullivan (R).
Alaska Senate polling average
Mary Peltola47.4%
Dan Sullivan43.4%
MarginPeltola +4.0
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Mary Peltola · — Dan Sullivan
Latest Alaska Senate polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Peltola | Sullivan | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 24 – Oct. 1 | New York Times/Siena University | 504 LV | 50% | 43% | Peltola +7 |
| Sept. 28–30 | Quantus Insights (partisan) | 758 LV | 46% | 46% | Even |
| Sept. 22–24 | Trafalgar Group (partisan) | 1,079 LV | 46% | 47% | Sullivan +1 |
| Sept. 14–17 | co/efficient (partisan) | 799 LV | 46% | 48% | Sullivan +2 |
| Sept. 13–14 | Rasmussen Reports (partisan) | 1,188 LV | 39% | 39% | Even |
| Sept. 10–12 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,352 LV | 48% | 44% | Peltola +4 |
| Sept. 8–11 | Fabrizio Ward/Impact Research | 800 LV | 45% | 41% | Peltola +4 |
| Aug. 20–23 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,495 LV | 51% | 49% | Peltola +2 |
| Aug. 2–5 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,371 LV | 51% | 49% | Peltola +2 |
| July 28 – Aug. 4 | Data for Progress (partisan) | 605 LV | 45% | 41% | Peltola +4 |
| June 15–29 | New York Times/Siena University | 593 LV | 45% | 47% | Sullivan +2 |
| June 4–7 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,393 LV | 49% | 44% | Peltola +5 |
| May 14–17 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,401 LV | 48% | 44% | Peltola +4 |
| April 16–19 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,946 LV | 49% | 43% | Peltola +6 |
| March 19–22 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,283 LV | 46% | 41% | Peltola +5 |
| Jan. 16–17 | Public Policy Polling (partisan) | 611 V | 49% | 47% | Peltola +2 |
| Jan. 8–11 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,988 LV | 48% | 46% | Peltola +2 |
| Oct. 17–23 | Data for Progress (partisan) | 823 LV | 46% | 45% | Peltola +1 |
| Oct. 10–15 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,708 LV | 48% | 46% | Peltola +2 |
| July 29 – Aug. 1 | Alaska Survey Research | 1,623 LV | 42% | 47% | Sullivan +5 |
| July 21–27 | Data for Progress (partisan) | 678 LV | 45% | 46% | Sullivan +1 |