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Iowa Senate polls
Turek (D) vs. Hinson (R)
Josh Turek leads the 2026 Iowa Senate race by 1.4 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Turek 46.7%, Hinson 45.3%.
- 18 polls from 16 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin is little changed over the past month.
- Rated Toss-up, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Joni Ernst (R).
Iowa Senate polling average
Josh Turek46.7%
Ashley Hinson45.3%
MarginTurek +1.4
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Josh Turek · — Ashley Hinson
Latest Iowa Senate polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Turek | Hinson | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct. 5–6 | Emerson College / Nexstar Media | 650 LV | 45% | 47% | Hinson +2 |
| Sept. 29 – Oct. 5 | CNN/SSRS | 801 LV | 43% | 45% | Hinson +2 |
| Oct. 1–4 | Suffolk University | 500 LV | 48% | 44% | Turek +4 |
| Sept. 22 – Oct. 1 | New York Times/Siena University | 606 LV | 47% | 48% | Hinson +1 |
| Sept. 28–30 | Rasmussen Reports (partisan) | 1,048 LV | 47% | 43% | Turek +4 |
| Sept. 28–29 | Quantus Insights (partisan) | 738 LV | 46% | 47% | Hinson +1 |
| Sept. 24–28 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research / Fox News | 1,008 LV | 49% | 47% | Turek +2 |
| Sept. 22–23 | InsiderAdvantage (partisan) | 1,200 LV | 47% | 46% | Turek +1 |
| Sept. 17–20 | Marist University | 1,050 RV | 50% | 42% | Turek +8 |
| Sept. 16–18 | Trafalgar Group (partisan) | 1,089 LV | 42% | 44% | Hinson +2 |
| Sept. 14–16 | co/efficient (partisan) | 831 LV | 42% | 46% | Hinson +4 |
| Sept. 9–11 | Cygnal (partisan) | 500 LV | 43% | 43% | Even |
| Sept. 8–10 | Rasmussen Reports (partisan) | 1,031 LV | 45% | 40% | Turek +5 |
| Sept. 3–8 | YouGov | 2,166 RV | 44% | 43% | Turek +1 |
| Aug. 31 – Sept. 1 | Emerson College / Nexstar Media | 750 LV | 45% | 50% | Hinson +5 |
| Aug. 27–31 | Global Strategy Group (partisan) | 800 LV | 46% | 42% | Turek +4 |
| Aug. 27–29 | Wedgewood Polls | 600 LV | 48% | 50% | Hinson +2 |
| Aug. 26–28 | Abacus Data | 323 LV | 54% | 45% | Turek +9 |
| Aug. 20–23 | Suffolk University | 500 LV | 41% | 45% | Hinson +5 |
| Aug. 2–4 | Emerson College / Nexstar Media | 712 LV | 45% | 48% | Hinson +3 |
| June 15–27 | The New York Times/Siena University | 600 LV | 46% | 48% | Hinson +2 |
| June 23–27 | Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research / Fox News | 1,003 RV | 50% | 46% | Turek +4 |
| June 16–19 | Cygnal / Iowans for Tax Relief | 600 LV | 44% | 46% | Hinson +2 |
| June 8–11 | Global Strategy Group (partisan) | 1,000 LV | 47% | 45% | Turek +2 |
| June 3–4 | Public Policy Polling / Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee | 557 RV | 46% | 46% | Even |
| April 3–9 | Echelon Insights / NetChoice | 377 LV | 46% | 45% | Turek +1 |
| March 10–16 | GBAO / ModSquad | 1,200 LV | 43% | 47% | Hinson +4 |
| Jan. 8–11 | Change Research (partisan) | 1,108 LV | 41% | 44% | Hinson +3 |