PolitiKool
Discourse from America’s online town square
Sunday, October 11, 2026

Maine Senate polls

Jackson (D) vs. Collins (R)

Troy Jackson and Susan Collins over the outline of Maine

Troy Jackson leads the 2026 Maine Senate race by 2.6 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.

  • Jackson 49.3%, Collins 46.7%.
  • 18 polls from 17 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
  • The margin has moved 1.1 points toward Susan Collins over the past month.
  • Rated Toss-up, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
  • The seat is held by Susan Collins (R).

Maine Senate polling average

Troy Jackson49.3%
Susan Collins46.7%
MarginJackson +2.6
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Troy Jackson · — Susan Collins
Race ratingsCook Toss-upIE Toss-upSabato Toss-up

Latest Maine Senate polls

DatesPollsterSampleJacksonCollinsMargin
Oct. 5–8 Rasmussen Reports (partisan) 804 LV 49% 47% Jackson +2
Sept. 30 – Oct. 5 The Washington Post/George Mason University School of Policy and Government 800 LV 50% 45% Jackson +5
Oct. 1–4 Marist University 1,505 RV 51% 47% Jackson +4
Sept. 27 – Oct. 1 Wedgewood Polls 400 LV 52% 48% Jackson +4
Sept. 29 – Oct. 1 Trafalgar Group (partisan) 1,091 LV 46% 46% Even
Sept. 23 – Oct. 1 CBS News/YouGov 1,136 LV 50% 50% Even
Sept. 28–30 co/efficient (partisan) 1,240 LV 46% 48% Collins +2
Sept. 25–29 Maine People's Resource Center 684 LV 49% 47% Jackson +2
Sept. 22–23 InsiderAdvantage (partisan) 1,200 LV 46% 46% Even
Sept. 15–22 The New York Times/Siena University / Portland Press Herald 619 LV 46% 49% Collins +3
Sept. 20–22 Fabrizio, Lee & Associates/Impact Research / AARP 982 LV 50% 47% Jackson +3
Sept. 17–21 University of New Hampshire 1,312 LV 51% 47% Jackson +4
Sept. 14–15 Quantus Insights 621 LV 46% 47% Collins +1
Aug. 28 – Sept. 14 University of Massachusetts Lowell Center for Public Opinion/YouGov 650 LV 48% 43% Jackson +5
Sept. 8–10 Rasmussen Reports (partisan) 1,033 LV 46% 45% Jackson +1
Sept. 2–8 YouGov 1,335 LV 48% 44% Jackson +4
Aug. 31 – Sept. 6 SSRS 880 LV 48% 45% Jackson +3
Aug. 26–28 Abacus Data 327 LV 52% 43% Jackson +9
Aug. 6–10 Beacon Research/Shaw & Co. Research / Fox News 1,000 RV 48% 46% Jackson +2
July 27 – Aug. 1 Hart Research Associates / Senate Majority PAC 802 LV 49% 45% Jackson +4
July 15–20 University of New Hampshire 1,178 LV 49% 46% Jackson +3
July 7–8 Z to A Research (partisan) 988 LV 47% 48% Collins +1
July 7–7 Public Policy Polling (partisan) 785 LV 49% 44% Jackson +5
July 4–6 Wedgewood Polls (partisan) 405 LV 48% 43% Jackson +5