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Montana Senate polls
Bankhead (D) vs. Alme (R) vs. Bodnar (I)
Kurt Alme leads the 2026 Montana Senate race by 25.3 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.
- Bankhead 18.1%, Alme 43.4%, Seth Bodnar 27.6%.
- 5 polls from 5 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
- The margin has moved 1.7 points toward Kurt Alme over the past month.
- Rated Safe R, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
- The seat is held by Steve Daines (R).
Montana Senate polling average
Alani Bankhead18.1%
Kurt Alme43.4%
Seth Bodnar27.6%
MarginAlme +25.3
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Alani Bankhead · — Kurt Alme · — Seth Bodnar
Latest Montana Senate polls
| Dates | Pollster | Sample | Bankhead | Alme | Bodnar | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sept. 19–24 | American Pulse Research & Polling / KULR-TV | 604 LV | 19% | 45% | 26% | Alme +26 |
| Sept. 14–15 | Quantus Insights (partisan) | 625 LV | 23% | 44% | 24% | Alme +21 |
| Sept. 7–15 | Aspect Strategic | 715 LV | 14% | 44% | 32% | Alme +30 |
| Aug. 27 – Sept. 7 | Rutgers University Eagleton Institute of Politics | 845 RV | 16% | 38% | 30% | Alme +22 |
| Aug. 23–25 | Peak Insights | 600 LV | 19% | 44% | 22% | Alme +25 |
| Aug. 1–4 | Hart Research Associates / Forward Montana | 800 LV | 15% | 45% | 30% | Alme +30 |
| July 23–27 | Tavern Research (partisan) | 517 LV | 41% | 59% | — | Alme +18 |
| July 23–26 | GQR / Contours Inc. | 500 LV | 22% | 41% | 27% | Alme +19 |
| July 13–16 | The Bullfinch Group / The Independent Center | 793 LV | 22% | 36% | 24% | Alme +14 |
| June 23–24 | GrayHouse (partisan) | 500 LV | 25% | 41% | 17% | Alme +16 |
| June 18–24 | Hart Research Associates / The Majority Institute | 800 LV | 43% | 49% | — | Alme +6 |
| June 16–19 | Tavern Research | 400 LV | 27% | 49% | 25% | Alme +22 |
| June 8–11 | Public Opinion Strategies / The Political Company | 500 LV | 25% | 44% | 20% | Alme +19 |