PolitiKool
Discourse from America’s online town square
Sunday, October 11, 2026

New Hampshire Senate polls

Pappas (D) vs. Sununu (R)

Chris Pappas and John E. Sununu over the outline of New Hampshire

Chris Pappas leads the 2026 New Hampshire Senate race by 7.3 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.

  • Pappas 49.7%, Sununu 42.4%.
  • 10 polls from 9 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
  • The margin has moved 2.9 points toward Chris Pappas over the past month.
  • Rated Lean D, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
  • The seat is held by Jeanne Shaheen (D).

New Hampshire Senate polling average

Chris Pappas49.7%
John E. Sununu42.4%
MarginPappas +7.3
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Chris Pappas · — John E. Sununu
Race ratingsCook Lean DIE Toss-upSabato Lean D

Latest New Hampshire Senate polls

DatesPollsterSamplePappasSununuMargin
Sept. 28 – Oct. 5 YouGov 1,520 LV 51% 43% Pappas +8
Sept. 28–29 Saint Anselm College 1,042 LV 51% 44% Pappas +7
Sept. 26–27 Trafalgar Group (partisan) 1,082 LV 47% 41% Pappas +6
Sept. 23–25 Trafalgar Group (partisan) 1,090 LV 46% 42% Pappas +4
Sept. 15–22 The New York Times/Siena University 613 LV 50% 45% Pappas +5
Sept. 17–21 University of New Hampshire 1,418 LV 50% 42% Pappas +8
Sept. 16–17 InsiderAdvantage (partisan) 1,200 LV 48% 40% Pappas +8
Sept. 9–11 co/efficient (partisan) 958 LV 46% 46% Even
Sept. 8–10 Rasmussen Reports (partisan) 1,000 LV 45% 34% Pappas +11
Aug. 27–30 Fabrizio, Lee, & Associates (partisan) 600 LV 36% 37% Sununu +1
Aug. 20–24 University of New Hampshire 1,878 LV 43% 45% Sununu +2
Aug. 17–18 Saint Anselm College Survey Center 1,411 LV 48% 41% Pappas +7
June 24–27 Peak Insights (partisan) 500 LV 43% 42% Pappas +1
June 24–25 Saint Anselm 1,614 RV 47% 41% Pappas +6
June 18–23 University of New Hampshire 2,232 LV 47% 44% Pappas +3
April 17–21 University of New Hampshire 1,295 LV 49% 42% Pappas +7
March 21–23 Emerson College 1,100 LV 45% 44% Pappas +2
March 16–18 Saint Anselm 1,491 RV 46% 43% Pappas +3
Jan. 28–29 yes. every kid. 563 LV 45% 41% Pappas +4
Jan. 15–19 University of New Hampshire 2,038 LV 50% 45% Pappas +5
Dec. 26–28 Praecones Analytica / New Hampshire Journal 603 RV 42% 36% Pappas +7
Dec. 9–11 Guidant Polling and Strategy (partisan) 600 LV 47% 44% Pappas +3
Nov. 18–19 Saint Anselm 2,112 RV 44% 41% Pappas +3
Oct. 9–13 co/efficient (partisan) 1,034 LV 45% 42% Pappas +3
Sept. 17–23 University of New Hampshire 1,225 LV 49% 43% Pappas +6
Sept. 10–12 co/efficient (partisan) 904 LV 46% 43% Pappas +3
Sept. 2–4 1892 Polling / One Nation 500 LV 45% 43% Pappas +2
March 17–19 Quantus Insights / TrendingPolitics 650 RV 44% 53% Sununu +9