PolitiKool
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Sunday, October 11, 2026

Oklahoma Senate polls

Thomas (D) vs. Hern (R)

Kevin Hern leads the 2026 Oklahoma Senate race by 24.0 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.

  • Thomas 25.0%, Hern 49.0%.
  • 1 poll from 1 pollster, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
  • The margin is little changed over the past month.
  • Rated Safe R, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
  • The seat is held by Alan Armstrong (R).

Oklahoma Senate polling average

N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas25.0%
Kevin Hern49.0%
MarginHern +24.0
Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — N'Kiyla Jasmine Thomas · — Kevin Hern
Race ratingsCook Solid RIE Solid RSabato Safe R

Latest Oklahoma Senate polls

DatesPollsterSampleThomasHernMargin
Aug. 3–6 CHS & Associates 500 RV 25% 49% Hern +24