Virginia Senate polls

Name: Virginia Senate race 2026 — PolitiKool polling average
Creator: PolitiKool
License: https://politikool.com/about

Warner (D) vs. Mizusawa (R)

Mark Warner leads the 2026 Virginia Senate race by 16.9 points in PolitiKool's polling average, as of Oct. 11, 2026.

Warner 48.6%, Mizusawa 31.7%.
2 polls from 2 pollsters, weighted by recency, sample size, pollster record and partisan sponsorship.
The margin is little changed over the past month.
Rated Safe D, combining the average with the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections.
The seat is held by Mark Warner (D).

Virginia Senate polling average

Mark Warner48.6%

Bert Mizusawa31.7%

MarginWarner +16.9

Average as of Oct. 11, 2026 · — Mark Warner · — Bert Mizusawa

Race ratingsCook Solid DIE Solid DSabato Safe D

Dates	Pollster	Sample	Warner	Mizusawa	Margin
June 12–16	The Public Sentiment Institute	996 RV	48%	32%	Warner +16
May 1–5	The Public Sentiment Institute/Virginia Project (partisan)	1,047 LV	55%	29%	Warner +26