10 Democrat-held House seats Republicans could flip to save their majority

With just over a month until Election Day, the fight for the House is in its closing stretch, and Republicans see a few openings among seats Democrats now hold. Fox News Power Rankings project Democrats winning 215 seats and Republicans 201, with 19 contests still too close to call, so control of the chamber for the last two years of President Donald Trump's term remains undecided. Republicans are also pointing to the rise of socialist candidates in Democratic primaries, arguing it could pull the party further left than most Americans want.

The first district highlighted is Alabama's, where Democratic Rep. Shomari Figures faces a much harder race. A 2023 Supreme Court decision forced the state to draw a second district giving Black voters real influence, and the resulting lines helped Figures win a seat previously held by Republican Rep. Barry Moore. This year's Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais sharply limited the Voting Rights Act's role in requiring race-conscious maps, which let southern states redraw boundaries. Alabama's new version would have backed Trump by about 14% in 2024, per 270ToWin, and both Fox News and the nonpartisan Cook Political Report rate it likely Republican.

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