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Tuesday, October 20, 2026
Latest News · The Independent · October 20, 2026

Trump’s tumbling poll numbers leave CNN data guru stunned

Latest News THE INDEPENDENT POLITIKOOL · LATEST NEWS

A new Reuters-Ipsos survey has Donald Trump's approval at 31 percent, the lowest figure recorded in either of his terms, and CNN chief data analyst Harry Enten called the result stunning during a Tuesday appearance with anchor John Berman. The slide matters because the midterm elections are approaching and the president's party usually loses congressional seats, according to The Independent.

Enten said Trump's net approval began his first term at plus six points and now sits at minus 35. Among independents, he is 54 points underwater. Enten rejected Berman's suggestion that this was a fluke, saying the pattern has repeated again and again. The nearest precedent he cited was Democrat Harry Truman, whose net rating was minus 30 in October 1946, a year Democrats lost both the House and the Senate.

The Independent reports that voter anger over living costs and the Iran war, now in its seventh month, is dragging on the president's standing. Polls point to possible Republican losses of both chambers. Trump has stayed upbeat at rallies, promising $5,000 to every American adult if Republicans keep Congress and claiming, without evidence, that Democrats will cheat. A separate Ipsos poll found most Americans doubt he would accept defeat.

Summarized by PolitiKool from The Independent’s reporting. Read the full story at The Independent →