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Latest News · The Independent · November 2, 2026

Trump’s favorite CNN pollster delivers devastating news just before midterm elections

Latest News THE INDEPENDENT POLITIKOOL · LATEST NEWS

Democratic Senate hopefuls hold leads or near-ties in nearly every closely watched race heading into Election Day, according to New York Times/Siena polling discussed Sunday by CNN data analyst Harry Enten. He called the results a "polling earthquake" and said they point toward a blue wave. Winning all those contests would lift Democrats from 47 seats to 54 and restore their Senate majority, giving them a means to obstruct much of President Donald Trump's agenda, according to The Independent.

The numbers show Democrats ahead in Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio and Texas. In Kansas, Adam Hamilton leads Sen. Roger Marshall 49 to 44. Troy Jackson, who replaced Graham Platner, tops Susan Collins 51 to 45 in Maine. Abdul El-Sayed has a 53 to 42 edge over Mike Rogers in Michigan, though the survey predates Haley Stevens' endorsement of Rogers. Sherrod Brown leads Sen. Jon Husted 49 to 44 in Ohio, and James Talarico outpaces Ken Paxton 50 to 43 in Texas. Alaska, where Mary Peltola is one point ahead of Dan Sullivan, and Iowa, where Josh Turek leads Ashley Hinson by one, are too close to call.

Enten cautioned that Republicans have beaten final Senate polling averages by 4.

Summarized by PolitiKool from The Independent’s reporting. Read the full story at The Independent →