What Democrats’ Midterm Gains Reveal About Trump’s Voter Coalition

Democrats took both chambers of Congress in the 2026 midterms, and Time's analysis of the results points to three groups that had helped put President Donald Trump in office in 2024 and then moved against his party: young, rural and Hispanic voters. Among them, young and Hispanic voters are the ones with detailed figures.

The AP Voter Poll, run from Oct. 19 to Nov. 3, found about 7 in 10 voters aged 18 to 29 backed Democrats for the House, and 60% of them said they were voting to signal opposition to Trump. Santiago Meyer of Voters of Tomorrow, who is 24, says young people felt betrayed on prices, housing and tariffs, and that Republican spending did not hold the gains Trump made in 2024, when an estimated 39% of them voted for him. He warns that Democrats must deliver or risk losing that support.

About 6 in 10 Hispanic voters chose Democrats for the House. In Texas, a similar share picked James Talarico in the Senate race, while about 3 in 10 chose Ken Paxton. Pew found Trump's approval among Latinos fell from 38% to 24%.

Summarized by PolitiKool from Time’s reporting. Read the full story at Time →