Sean Hannity Warns Young Americans Social Security Likely Won't Be There
The Fox News host's forecast runs against Donald Trump's pledge not to cut the program.

Sean Hannity told his radio audience on Tuesday that young Americans should not count on Social Security when they retire. He also predicted that benefits would eventually be means-tested and cut for older Americans as well. Donald Trump has pledged not to cut the program.
The Fox News host said it four weeks before the November 3 midterms. Trump has made protecting the program a central promise, and the National Republican Senatorial Committee is running ads that cast the party as the defender of seniors' benefits.
"I would tell young people especially, don't think that Social Security is gonna be there for you when you retire. I'd say the odds are high that it's not gonna be," Hannity said on The Sean Hannity Show. "Even for older people at some point, I think they're gonna means test it. I think they're gonna cut benefits back 'cause it's headed towards insolvency."
Hannity's Case Against Government Programs
Hannity made the prediction while answering a caller during a long argument against socialism. He did not name Trump or any Republican. The "they" in his remarks was the government in general, and he did not call for the cuts himself.
Just before the Social Security remark, he urged listeners to "provide for yourself, provide for your family, and don't ever believe any government promise that they're gonna provide any government service." A few sentences later, he added: "Government fraud, waste, abuse, I mean, it is rampant. They don't run anything well."
The argument was aimed at the left. Hannity criticized New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani's description of socialism and closed the segment by telling listeners "it's up to us to prevent them from getting power," a reference to Democrats in the midterms.
What the Social Security Trustees Project
Hannity's insolvency warning matches the program's official forecast, but his prediction about what happens next goes further. According to a Congressional Research Service summary of the 2026 Trustees Report, the retirement trust fund will run out of reserves in the fourth quarter of 2032. After that, incoming payroll taxes would cover only part of scheduled benefits.
If the retirement and disability funds are combined, they can pay full benefits until the third quarter of 2034. After that, about 83 percent of scheduled benefits would be payable in 2034. The program's costs have exceeded its non-interest revenue since 2010, and in 2025, total costs exceeded total revenues.
If Congress does nothing, the program would not disappear in 2032, and lawmakers could preserve benefits through tax increases or other legislation. Without such action, benefits would fall automatically across the board. That cut would hit current retirees as well as young workers, which is the part of Hannity's forecast that matches the trustees' numbers.
Donald Trump's Pledges on Social Security
Trump has repeatedly pledged not to cut benefits. "I will not cut one penny from Social Security or Medicare," he said at a July 27, 2024, rally in St. Cloud, Minnesota, Scripps News reported.
Republicans are campaigning on that position. On August 17, the National Republican Senatorial Committee launched digital ads in seven Senate battlegrounds, including Alaska, Georgia and Michigan. The ads say Democrats "want to tax the Social Security benefits that grandparents have paid into their entire lives."
The stakes are high for a party that trails on PolitiKool's polling average of the generic congressional ballot, where Democrats lead 48.6 percent to 40.5 percent.
Young Voters Already Share His Doubts
Hannity's warning reflects what many younger Americans already believe. In an AARP survey, only 25 percent of those ages 18 to 49 said they were confident in the program's future, compared with 48 percent of those 50 and older.
Overall confidence fell to 36 percent, down from 43 percent in 2020 and the lowest since 2010. Support for the program is still nearly universal: 96 percent of respondents called Social Security important, including 95 percent of Republicans.
What Happens Next
The usual options for closing the shortfall are higher payroll taxes, a higher retirement age, lower benefits for higher earners or some combination. Trump has ruled out cuts, and Republican ads attack Democrats over taxes on benefits. Under the trustees' projections, whoever controls Congress after November will have about six years before the retirement fund's reserves run out in late 2032.
Sources
- Congressional Research Service: Social Security, Selected Findings of the 2026 Annual Report — 2026 Trustees projections: combined funds can pay full benefits until the third quarter of 2034, with about 83 percent of scheduled benefits payable in 2034; costs have exceeded non-interest revenue since 2010, and in 2025, total costs exceeded total revenues.
- Scripps News: Truth Be Told, Trump vows not to cut Social Security, Medicare — Trump's July 27, 2024, pledge in St. Cloud, Minnesota: 'I will not cut one penny from Social Security or Medicare.'
- NRSC: Republicans Target Senate Dems Over Taxes on Social Security — August 17, 2026, GOP ad campaign in seven Senate battlegrounds framing Republicans as protecting seniors' benefits.
1 more source
- AARP: Confidence in the Future of Social Security Among Younger Adults at 15-Year Low — 25 percent of adults 18 to 49 are confident in Social Security's future, compared with 48 percent of those 50 and older; 96 percent call the program important.